Drivers across Australia may finally see relief at the pump, with fuel analysts forecasting a drop of up to 18 cents per litre starting from the weekend of 27 November. The expected decline follows changes in global oil markets and the end of a recent pricing cycle in major capital cities.
For Sydney delivery driver Mark Riddell, the news comes at the right time. “I fill up four or five times a week,” he said. “Even a small drop makes a huge difference when you’re on the road all day.” His experience is shared by thousands of workers who rely on petrol for their daily income.
Here is what motorists should expect as fuel prices shift heading into the final weeks of the year.
What’s Changing
- Petrol prices in major cities are approaching the downward phase of the pricing cycle, with analysts predicting falls of around 18 cents per litre.
- Reduced global oil demand and stabilising international supply have contributed to the expected drop.
- Independent service stations may adjust prices sooner than major retailers.
- Regional areas could see slower reductions due to transport and supply factors.
- Diesel and premium fuels may follow different pricing trends depending on global benchmarks.
Real Stories Behind the Trend
In Brisbane, schoolteacher Laura Evans said high fuel prices forced her to cut back on weekend travel for months. “I used to visit family every second weekend,” she said. “Now I plan everything around petrol prices.”
Small businesses that rely on delivery fleets say the anticipated drop will help ease operating costs at a time when many are battling higher rents and supply chain pressures.
Government Statements
A spokesperson for the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission said global fuel price movements and local market cycles are aligning to produce the expected decline. The commission continues to monitor retailers to ensure price reductions are passed on to consumers promptly.
State governments have also urged motorists to use official fuel comparison apps to find the lowest prices in their area.
Data Insight
Fuel analysts track price cycles in cities such as Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide, where peaks and troughs occur roughly every few weeks. When the cycle shifts into a downward phase at the same time global oil prices ease, households often see noticeable reductions at the pump.
Rising living costs have placed additional attention on fuel price movements throughout 2025, making even small reductions meaningful for commuters.
Comparison of Expected Price Movements
| Location | Recent Average Price | Expected Drop | Anticipated New Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | Higher end of cycle | Up to 18 cents | Lower weekend prices |
| Melbourne | Near peak | Up to 18 cents | Decline into next week |
| Brisbane | Mid-cycle | Around 15–18 cents | Weekend and early-week drop |
| Adelaide | Recent peak | Sharp short-term fall | Similar reductions expected |
What You Should Know
- Prices can change quickly, so motorists may benefit from waiting until after the weekend if their city is entering a downward phase.
- Regional drivers may need more time to see reductions compared with major metropolitan areas.
- Using fuel apps can help identify which stations pass on reductions earliest.
- Public holidays and local events can temporarily influence demand and delay price drops.
- Diesel prices may not fall at the same rate as petrol.
Q&A: Your Questions About the 18-Cent Petrol Price Drop
1. Will every city see an 18-cent drop?
Most major capitals may see reductions close to that amount, but exact figures vary.
2. When will the new prices appear?
Many stations begin lowering prices over the weekend of 27 November, with broader reductions early the following week.
3. Why do petrol prices move in cycles?
Retail strategies, competition and wholesale cost changes contribute to predictable cycles in many cities.
4. Will regional areas benefit?
Yes, but typically with delays due to supply transport costs.
5. Will premium fuels fall by the same amount?
Premium fuel prices often move differently but may still decline.
6. Should drivers fill up now or wait?
If prices are currently at peak levels, waiting until the drop begins may offer savings.
7. What causes sudden large price jumps?
Wholesale changes, international events and retailer pricing strategies can all contribute.
8. Does the government set petrol prices?
No, but authorities monitor for anti-competitive behaviour.
9. Why are fuel prices so volatile in 2025?
Global supply fluctuations and domestic cost pressures have made prices more sensitive.
10. Will diesel prices drop too?
Diesel may follow a different pattern but could see some reduction.
11. Are fuel apps accurate?
Government-backed apps generally provide reliable real-time pricing.
12. Will price drops continue into December?
It depends on global oil trends and local cycle timing.
13. Can stations delay passing on reductions?
Some may hold prices temporarily, which is why comparison tools are useful.
14. Do supermarket fuel discounts still apply?
Yes, standard loyalty discounts remain available.
15. Could the drop be larger than 18 cents?
If global oil prices fall further, reductions could be greater.
Hi, I’m Sam. I cover government aid programs and policy updates, focusing on how new initiatives and regulations impact everyday people. I’m passionate about making complex policy changes easier to understand and helping readers stay informed about the latest developments in public support and social welfare. Through my work, I aim to bridge the gap between government action and community awareness.
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